bellwether counties epoch times11 Apr bellwether counties epoch times
Port Clinton, Ohio. Sam, who is a truck driver for Four City Technologies in Wellington but lives in Marblehead, said he drives about 400 miles a day to deliver bolts, nuts, and screws used in the auto industry. "The three potentially competitive races in Virginia with Democratic incumbents could be a national bellwether," veteran Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth told The Epoch Times. Things happen for a reason, and its out of our control until things change, Brendon told The Epoch Times. The farther we get from the November election, the more time data analysts and others have to examine the most unlikeliest of election victories by Democrat Joe Biden. Peoples common sense level is cooked. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the nineteen counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Theres too much mishandling, she said. Trump is a person who just couldnt accept defeat, Ellithorpe said. He loves this country. Fitch said he finds the president to be arrogant and obnoxious at times, but I wasnt voting for a fishing buddy, I was looking for somebody to stir up Washington, D.C., Hes getting stuff done in an unconventional way, Fitch said. Rarely are we really stuck with people in leadership that are fairly moderate. Nothing has changed regarding the date of the May 3 primary election, Baumgardner said. We just couldnt believe that Trump had lost.. These 10 bellwether counties five in Sun Belt battlegrounds, five in the Frost Belt (loosely defined to include Iowa) could point us toward each state's winner. Washington state's Clallam County was the outlier, backing Joe Biden in a state he won by more than 19 points. Natural gas is a key ingredient in the process used to make the nitrogen-based fertilizer used on crops such as corn and wheat. Longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat who has been in Congress since 1983, is running for reelection; Teresa Gavarone and J.R. Majewski are competing in the GOP primary. A state is considered a "bellwether state" if it usually . Before the 2020 election, Clallam was one of 19 counties with an unbroken record of voting for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. Hamilton sees value in both parties, he said, but he considers himself Democratic-leaning. Right after we saw the results of the election and that Trump had lost, we were all like, what the hell?, said Tammy, a bartender at Wee Willys Sports Pub in Marblehead. I think a lot of us are fighting against socialism. He told The Epoch Times that hes facing workforce shortages and currently only has 18 cookshalf of what he normally would have. The issues most important to Jacobs are immigration, the health care system, and socialism. If I look back on my life, there is a swing toward the right, and then it swings back toward the left. That is, until this year. While these are the top bellwether counties, there are many more that are considered to be predictive. Theyve been dubbed bellwether counties and until this year, no president since at least Ronald Reagan has missed even one. Weve never done that before.. She said her husband will vote for Trump, too. At 6:30 pm we kick off an evening that showcases and celebrates Ukrainian arts and culture. We know that President Donald Trump won 18 of the 19 historic bellwether counties those that have regularly predicted the outcome of presidential contests. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. Farming also is huge here. Its the rural American, pro-life, pro-Second Amendment county that gave the edge to Barack Obama in 2008. Im kind of leaning toward being an independent. With all the inflation, its challenging, and can be tricky to run a business, Miller, 58, said. When he became a Christian, he struggled with his unions blind support for Democratic candidates, most of whom arent pro-life, he said. This is a high farming community.. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. However, the political viewpoints of its residents are mixed as they have become more wary and leery of the government. Just two have populations in excess of 100,000, the authors said. I just want Trump in. He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. Donald Trump 16 out of 39 counties which are considered significant bellwethers. Whats happening is affecting everybody, he said. He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. Biden has talked both ways, so its hard for me to really grasp where he is on the issue. Required fields are marked *. Were going to shift from a materialistic world to a more conscious and spiritual world, he said. While the Royal Drive In has been in the family for 60 years and serves a steady stream of local regulars, Martin says she wont recover until at least next summer, when she can get an extra boost, especially from traveling Canadiansas long as the border is open. Paul, a 51-year-old resident in Seelyvillejust east of Terre Hautewho also didnt disclose his last name, wont vote either. (Michael Sakal/The Epoch Times). Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. The Democrats who are vying for that partys nomination are Morgan Harper, Traci Johnson, and Tim Ryan, who has been serving in Congress for the past 2o years, or 10 consecutive terms. But its still anyones game when taking into account the 1.2 million unaffiliated or other-party voters and the roughly 70 percent voter turnout. She can be reached at cara.ding@epochtimes.com, Biden Extends National Emergency Due to Extraordinary Threat of Russian Actions in Ukraine, Suburban Wisconsin Voters Divided on Presidential Race. Terry Titchner, 70, said hes voting for Biden because he doesnt trust Trump. Why is belief in the existence of bellwether states and counties (especially the latter) so strong? What are they going to do about gun rights? he said. If we dont stop them, if we dont take a stand basically were moving into socialism.. Paul hopes that one day he can save enough money to buy himself a car, so he can drive to Florida and reunite with his family. The researchers also mapped all American counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scorethat is their record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. Competing for the Democratic nomination are John Cranley and former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. Elk Countys approximately 15,000 residents that go to the polls have voted for the eventual winner in all but three presidential elections since 1932in 1940, 1968, and 2012. Thats a highly Democratic area, but people see whats going on and theyre not happy, Sam said. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. And just a few miles outside the countys urban center of Terre Haute, youll find a sprawl of soybean and corn farms, with a rural demographic that often leans Republican. He was concerned about the situation in Ukraine. Chamberlin, who has worked for the regional chain for 17 years, estimates he has saved about $2,000 in gas over the past year. Though Myers leans toward Trump, he hasnt made up his mind to vote for him yet; he didnt vote for Trump in 2016. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Now, just because my president is Republican, I expected a swing to the right, but what we have nowthey broke the whole pendulum. 'I Should Start Voting'. Overall, the county is in good shape, and has a lot going for it.. Jacobs said she absolutely intends to vote in person on Nov. 3. He says hes going to vote for the lesser of two evils.. Its just too depressing, too much bad and evil going on in the world, Shepherd told The Epoch Times. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a 3 point margin. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. An Emerson poll conducted shortly before Election Day was completely off, showing Trump and Biden neck-to-neck. The county, which includes spring and summer destinations such as Kelleys Island, Marblehead, and Put-in-Bay, currently is in hibernation. Vigo County voters supported Trump by a 15 percent margin in 2016. It bisects six counties Hillsborough, Polk, Osceola, Orange, Seminole and Volusia but is far bigger than the . By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. We have loads that sometimes dont cover the fuel costs., During the COVID pandemic, nobody was on the roads. We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area in particular appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd stands in front of her daughters house in Seelyvilee, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. First, we can readily imagine that some counties demographically/politically mirror the nation, and thus monitoring this small set of counties closely would tell us with high predictive reliability what will happen nationally. Since he became a Christian in the mid-1990s, he said hes used his moral compass to determine his vote. The morale of the people up there is bad. Tammy, who didnt want to provide her last name, told The Epoch Times that during the summer leading up to the 2020 presidential election, the area had a regatta on Lake Erie in Marblehead in support of Donald Trump. A diverse group of residents, many were surprised to wake up the morning of Nov. 4, 2020, to see that Joe Biden overtook Trumps leads in numerous battleground states from the night beforesuch as in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Haotian Chen University of California, Irvine The Republican has been a big supporter of water quality on Lake Erie, and were looking to get another candidate that sees that as a priority.. The issues most important to Fannin include the economy, border security, and the virus. I dont watch TV. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high-scoring counties, they said. Theres too much corruption. Even Heidi Mackey, the clerk inside the station who said she hasnt voted since 2018, said shell likely vote in the May 3 primary. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about 4 points on average. Im not happy with either party. I believe in what they call entitlement programs, Hamilton said. Epoch Times, Gateway Pundit, and EveryLegalVote.com show a different electoral vote count for two reasons: They exclude states with pending litigation or recounts, subtracting votes from. If you own a business and you have a bad summer where it rains every weekend, youre out of luck.. Part of his route is driving up to Detroit and Flint, Michigan, every day. When Republican Dr. Ted Bowlus defeated Democrat Joel Kuhlman in the 2016 election, it completed a single-party commission. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of the state between Toledo and Cleveland, the area has a population of 40,364, according to the 2020 Census. Eleven of the nineteen were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. bellwether counties epoch timesjury duty summons date vs reporting date Get Business Credit and Financing To Grow Your Business!!! bellwether. One older woman with a Biden sign outside her home simply said, Im voting for Biden, and thats all Ive got to say.. People are so worked up about it all the time, stressed out. Medicare is becoming a joke. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. Ottawa County is also the home to the Marblehead lighthouse (the oldest lighthouse in continuous operation on the Great Lakes), Africa Wildlife Safari, and its county seat of Port Clinton is known as the Walleye Capital of the World. Its been a long time since we were fully staffed with 35 cooks. Two states have announced recounts. Growth in recent years has been a challenge, if not nonexistent, he said. For example, across seven elections, we would expect to see 28 bellwether counties. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. What Should Fiscal and Social Policy in a Sustainable Economy Look Like? We dont want it, she said. Fannin plans to vote in person and is pretty sure Trump will win a second term, but hes concerned about the integrity of the mail-in ballots. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. He cares about the American people.. 0:00 0:00. It also has a failing manufacturing sector with once Democratic-leaning union workers who may have found Trumps America First message appealing in recent years. Jacobs, 58, a gift store manager in Ridgway, said she voted for Obama but didnt follow politics closely at the time. But Hamilton thinks more changes are needed. The simple answer is that chance effects can be much greater than most people realize. Weve always had a mix of voters, Baumgardner added. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. January 5, 2021: Rep. Jordan attacks "liberal judges" and state officials for their role in the election. Titchner, a Vietnam veteran, has been painting houses for 45 years and said he votes based on the candidate, rather than the party. This includes personalizing content and advertising. This year, after seeing the country shut down amid the pandemic, and seeing riots break out in many cities, I just think its time that I should start voting, she said. He said hes had trouble getting a job for much of his life, because he was found guilty of a felony drug offense as a young man. I dont think you should take that away from me.. In 2016, he definitely was the lesser of two evils, Zulch said. "If. They've been dubbed "bellwether counties" and until this year,. He isnt so sure about Biden. Bernard Grofman is Distinguished Professor of Political Science and Jack W. Peltason Chair of Democracy Studies at the University of California, Irvine. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. I think we needed somebody like him.. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high scoring counties, they said. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Its home to four universities, filled with many Democratic-leaning students. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Mike DeWine is running for reelection and facing candidates Joe Blystone, Jim Renacci, and Ron Hood in the primary. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Two states have announced recounts. Armagost was lucky during the shutdowns, as bike shop repairs and maintenance were considered essential and he remained in business.
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